When Are Married Couples Most Likely to Get Divorced? (2024)

Nearly half of all UK marriages end in divorce. However, the likelihood of getting divorced varies during the course of a marriage. Official statistics show that after a brief honeymoon period during a young marriage, couples are most at risk of divorcing after their five year anniversary.

The UK Office for National Statistics publish annual statistics on divorces in England and Wales. The latest figures are available here. In October 2017, the ONS published figures for divorces in 2016, the latest figures currently available.

In a previous blog, we wrote that 42% of marriages now end in divorce. However, the rate at which couples become divorced is not static.

A clear trend can be seen from these statistics:

  1. The Honeymoon period. This lasts on average from the date of the wedding until around the third wedding anniversary. Couples will have roughly 1% chance of divorcing in this time.
  2. The Seven Year Itch. The danger period from the 4th to the 7th anniversary of a marriage is when married couples are most at risk of divorce. The risk of divorce in any particular year during this time peaks at 3%. Half of all divorces will have taken place by the 9th wedding anniversary.
  3. Medium Term Marriage Risk. The risk of divorce remains relatively high at 2-3% per year until the 15th wedding anniversary. 3/4of all divorces will have taken place by the 15th wedding anniversary.
  4. Til Death Do Us Part. After the 15th anniversary, couples will have a 0-1% chance of divorce each year.

Interesting sidenote: short marriages are becoming rarer. Of those married in 2011, only 7% were divorced by their 5th wedding anniversary. This is a 50% lower divorce rate than for marriages in the 80s and 90s, where divorce rates averaged 11%.

The ONS publishes figures for the cumulative percentage of marriages ending in divorce by year of marriage. From these figures, we can extrapolate the percentage of marriages ending for each year of marriage. This is the risk during each year that an average couple will divorce.

When Are Married Couples Most Likely to Get Divorced? (1)

The MK Rose, Milton Keynes by Neil Theasby

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When Are Married Couples Most Likely to Get Divorced? (2024)

FAQs

When Are Married Couples Most Likely to Get Divorced? ›

While there are numerous divorce studies with conflicting statistics, the data points to two periods during a marriage when divorces are most common: years 1 – 2 and years 5 – 8. During those two high-risk timeframes, two years in particular that stand out as the most common years for divorce — years 7 and 8.

What year of marriage is most common for divorce? ›

Most divorces happen between year three and year seven of marriage. Just 4% of couples divorce after 10 years of marriage.

What is the toughest year of marriage? ›

Divorce lawyers, psychologists, and researchers have slotted years of marriage into periods and have rated them based on their risk of divorce:
  • Years 1–2: Very Risky.
  • Years 3–4: Mild Risk.
  • Years 5–8: Very Risky.
  • Years 9–15: Low Risk.
  • Years 15 and over: Low to Mild Risk.

What is the #1 cause of divorce? ›

Lack of commitment is the most common reason given by divorcing couples according to a recent national survey. Here are the reasons given and their percentages: Lack of commitment 73% Argue too much 56%

Why is the 7th year of marriage the hardest? ›

Of course, by the seven-year mark, partners are well past the honeymoon phase — and issues may have begun to arise. “With added time, marital struggles can include issues like poor communication and listening skills, a lack of empathy and partners having unrealistic expectations of one another,” Dr. Borland explains.

What is the walkaway wife syndrome? ›

There's a term for this: walkaway wife syndrome. This term is sometimes used to describe instances where a spouse – often the wife – has felt alone, neglected, and resentful in a deteriorating marriage and decides it's time to end it.

What age do most marriages break up? ›

The median ages for first marriages in the United States are 26.9 years old for men and 25.3 years old for women. On the other end, the average age for couples going through their first divorce is approximately 30 years old—30.5 for men, 29 for women.

How long do average marriages last? ›

In 2018, the median duration of marriage for individuals in a first marriage was 21 years. In other words, half of Americans in a first marriage in 2018 were married for at least 21 years.

Do second marriages last longer than first? ›

While many couples see remarriage as a second chance at happiness, the statistics tell a different story. According to available Census data, the divorce rate for second marriages in the United States is over 60% compared to around 50% for first marriages.

Who initiates divorce more? ›

When it comes to divorce, women are more likely to initiate divorce proceedings than men. According to various studies, approximately 70% of divorces are initiated by women. This may seem counterintuitive, especially in societies where men have historically been the decision-makers.

Which couples are most likely to divorce? ›

Several factors can make people more or less likely to divorce. These include age at the time of marriage, level of education, religious beliefs, and income level. Additionally, people who are more likely to divorce are those who marry young, have a lower level of education, are not religious, and have lower incomes.

What is the 7 7 7 rule for marriage? ›

Here's how the 777 Rule works: every seven days you go on a date, every seven weeks you go away for the night and every seven months the two of you head off on a romantic holiday. It might sound a tad prescriptive, and an à deux holiday almost twice a year could be one too many, but nevertheless we get the point.

At what age is marriage most successful? ›

The Goldilocks Theory

“The ideal age to get married, with the least likelihood of divorce in the first five years, is 28 to 32,” says Carrie Krawiec, a marriage and family therapist at Birmingham Maple Clinic in Troy, Michigan.

What is the most critical year of marriage? ›

After all, almost 50% of first marriages, 60% of second marriages, and 73% of third marriages end in divorce. While there are countless divorce studies with conflicting statistics, the data points to two periods during a marriage when divorces are most common: years 1 – 2 and years 5 – 8.

What year were divorce rates the highest? ›

The divorce rate fell from a historic high of 22.6 divorces per 1,000 married women in 1980 to 17.5 in 2007. In real terms, this means that slightly more than 40% of contemporary first marriages are likely to end in divorce, down from approximately 50% in 1980.

What year are couples most likely to break up? ›

At the three, seven, 11 and 15-year marks

“When couples call it quits early on, such as [during] years two or three, they generally have not learned how to resolve conflict. The honeymoon phase has worn off, and past resentments start to overwhelm the relationship,” Polinder says.

How long do marriages last on average? ›

Average Duration of a Marriage in the U.S.

According to the Census Bureau, the average length of a first marriage is eight years. Italy's is about double that. But the US doesn't win the title for the world's shortest marriage. Marriages in Qatar last an average of only five years.

What time of year has the highest divorce rate? ›

What is the most common month for divorce? Divorce rates peak in March and August, making them the most common months for divorce. This could be due to people avoiding filing during winter holidays when family time is emphasized.

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